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How is probability calculated?

Posted: November 4th, 2017, 3:32 pm
by Adahn451
Please see the attached screenshot. Shouldn't the "Final difficulty" be 55%? Why is it 40%? What am I missing?

Image

Re: How is probability calculated?

Posted: November 5th, 2017, 4:46 am
by vv221
Is the error always -15% on this task, even when you use effort?

If so, I suspect the base difficulty is actually -15% but is shown as 0% (so a display bug, not a calculation one).